Argentina Not Likely to Increase Wheat Exports
It appears Argentina won’t be able to capitalize on the interruption of wheat supplies from the Black Sea. That according to AgriCensus, a London-based Price Reporting Agency. The agency said weather, inflation and political uncertainty all combine to be detrimental to wheat exports for the nation.
Argentine farmers face dry conditions with the second consecutive La Nina and worries of a third consecutive event. Initial estimates have the 2022/23 crop size at 20.5 million metric tons, down from the previous crop year’s record high of 22.4 million metric tons, with further cuts possible.
Argentine farmers are reportedly cutting wheat acres in favor of barley, which is cheaper to grow. Input costs are another factor, as one analyst tells the agency, "This year there are going to be less hectares planted with wheat and less use in fertilizers this season."
And the Argentine government has imposed a series of protective measures to tackle ever-rising domestic inflation levels in the country.
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